Country page · Sub-Saharan Africa
If you were born in Guinea
1 in 267 babies · 0.38% of births · about 503,198 a year
Right now, about 0.38% of the world's babies are born in Guinea — 1 in 267, or roughly 503,198 a year and 1,379 a day. Life expectancy there is 60.9 years.
Why 1 in 8 billion is not a birth probability
How the 1 in 267 is calculated
This number is not based on population. It uses births: Guinea has about 503,198 births a year, and the world has about 134,147,481. Divide one by the other and you get 0.38% — 1 in 267. Using population instead would understate young countries and overstate ageing ones, so every draw is weighted by births.
Population and births
Guinea has 15,099,727 people — 0.18% of the 8,185,260,817 people in this 172-country group, ranking 74th of 172 by population. Its 503,198 births a year are 0.38% of the world's births, so its birth share is 2.03× its population share. A ratio below 1 usually means an older age structure than the group average; above 1 means younger. Population is the 2025 estimate; births use the latest birth rate (2024).
| Measure | Value | Share of world | World rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population (2025) | 15,099,727 | 0.18% | 74th of 172 |
| Births per year (2024) | 503,198 | 0.38% | 56th of 172 |
| Birth share ÷ population share | 2.03× | — | — |
How the population is changing
Guinea is changing by 2.31% a year. About 503,198 babies are born and 136,320 people die each year, a natural change of +366.9K; net migration is -16.3K. Population density is 60 people per km². About 5.8M people live in cities. 40.5% of the population is under 15 and 3.5% is 65 or older.
| Measure | Value | Year |
|---|---|---|
| Annual population growth | 2.31% | 2025 |
| Deaths per year | 136,320 | 2024 |
| Natural change (births − deaths) | +366,878 | 2024 |
| Net migration | -16,282 | 2025 |
| Population density | 60 /km² | 2024 |
| Urban population | 5,815,891 | 2025 |
| Age 0–14 | 40.5% | 2025 |
| Age 15–64 | 56.0% | 2025 |
| Age 65+ | 3.5% | 2025 |
Components use the latest available year for each series and may not add exactly to the published growth rate.
Median age and the 2050 outlook
Guinea's median age is 18.3 years, against a world median of 30.9. The UN projects 24.2 years by 2050, 23,404,584 people (55.0% more than in 2025), and life expectancy at birth of 64.7 years (women 66.4, men 63.0).
| Year | Population (UN WPP 2024) |
|---|---|
| 1970 | 4,277,536 |
| 2000 | 8,428,832 |
| 2030 | 16,807,147 |
| 2050 | 23,404,584 |
Median age, 2050 population and 2050 life expectancy: UN WPP 2024. The population table above uses the World Bank snapshot; the projection table above uses UN WPP 2024.
Age structure in 2025
Male and female shares of the total population in Guinea, by age group.
UN WPP 2024, 2025 estimate. Male and female shares are of the total population, so they add to 100%.
Life in Guinea, in numbers
| Indicator | Value | Year | World rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life expectancy women 62.1 · men 59.7 | 60.9 years | 2024 | 165th highest of 172 countries |
| Chance of dying before 5 92.1 / 1,000 | 9.2% | 2024 | 165th lowest of 170 countries |
| Chance of dying before 1 59.8 / 1,000 | 6.0% | 2024 | 164th lowest of 170 countries |
| Mothers who die giving birth per 100,000 births | 494 | 2023 | 161st lowest of 170 countries |
| Children per woman | 4.13 | 2024 | 153rd lowest of 172 countries |
| Expected years of schooling | 9.0 years | 2014 | 149th highest of 168 countries |
| Tertiary enrollment | 10.9% | 2014 | 130th highest of 168 countries |
| Income per person (PPP) GDP per capita, PPP | $4,935 | 2025 | 136th highest of 170 countries |
| Income inequality closer to 0 = more equal | 29.60 | 2018 | 132nd highest of 157 countries |
| People living in cities | 38.5% | 2025 | 141st highest of 172 countries |
| People working in farming | 47.4% | 2025 | 147th lowest of 171 countries |
| People using the internet | 33.3% | 2024 | 143rd highest of 172 countries |
| Homicide per 100,000 people | — | — | — |
| Health costs paid out of pocket share of health spending | 54.4% | 2023 | 143rd lowest of 168 countries |
| Adults living with HIV | 1.30% | 2024 | 29th highest of 142 countries |
| People who smoke | — | — | — |
Chance of reaching each age
Of 100 babies born in Guinea, about 90.9% reach age 5 and 25.8% reach 80. The world averages are 96.5% and 48.3%.
| Age | This country | World |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 90.9% | 96.5% |
| 20 | 87.3% | 95.1% |
| 40 | 80.3% | 92.0% |
| 60 | 66.6% | 82.9% |
| 80 | 25.8% | 48.3% |
UN WPP 2024 life table, 2025, both sexes combined.
How to read these numbers
Income is shown in purchasing-power-parity dollars, so it compares what money buys locally rather than market exchange rates. The under-5 rate is the share of babies who die before their fifth birthday; the maternal mortality ratio is per 100,000 live births. A Gini index closer to 0 means a more equal income distribution, and a higher number means a more unequal one.
Each indicator uses the most recent year with a non-empty value, which can differ by country; the rank compares this country with the other 171 in the dataset, not with every country on Earth. Where a value is missing, the page shows a dash rather than an estimate. World and regional figures are weighted by population; the under-5 rate is weighted by births.
Guinea compared with Sub-Saharan Africa
Life expectancy in Guinea is 60.9 years, against a Sub-Saharan Africa average of 62.8. The under-5 death rate is 9.2%, versus 7.1% across the region. Income per person is $4,935, against $5,782 regionally; expected schooling is 9.0 years against 9.4. 38.5% of people live in cities, against 44.7% in the region.
| Indicator | Guinea | Sub-Saharan Africa | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life expectancy | 60.9 years old | 62.8 years old | 73.4 years old |
| Under-5 deaths | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Income per person (PPP) | $4,935 | $5,782 | $25,560 |
| Expected schooling | 9.0 years | 9.4 years | 12.5 years |
| People in cities | 38.5% | 44.7% | 57.8% |
What a life there looks like
Put those numbers together and you get a life: about 60.9 years on average, with roughly 92.1 of every 1,000 babies dying before their fifth birthday. A child can expect 9.0 years of school, and income per person is around $4,935. These are averages — every life still lands somewhere on the distribution.
If you play as someone born in Guinea
The game draws Guinea in about 1 of every 267 births. From there the life runs year by year: 60.9 years of life expectancy on average, a 9.2% chance of dying before five, and an income of about $4,935 per person. Choices move the odds; the starting statistics do not.
Play one life in the simulator · The rules of one life · Play without an app store
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds of being born in Guinea?
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Source: World Bank World Development Indicators, with UN World Population Prospects 2024 and UN IGME for births and mortality. Values are the most recent non-empty year for each indicator; the year is noted where it differs. Page updated Oct 25, 2026.